Methodology
How AutoArb works
What happens to a listing between the source site and a number you can bid, written so you can check it.
The pipeline
- Discover. Enabled sources are scanned on schedule, each read by its real access method: API, feed, browser or manual. Sources that forbid automation are marked manual-only and never circumvented.
- Normalize. Every listing becomes the same canonical record: year, make, model, price, mileage, location and condition notes. Missing fields stay missing.
- Economics. The engine adds price, fees, transport, the repair range and title costs into one all-in figure, then prices the outcome three ways: conservative, expected and optimistic.
- Max acquisition price. Expected market value minus your target profit minus expected costs. This is the ceiling: bid above it and the deal stops working.
- Confidence. Every figure carries its source, its method and its confidence. Where data is missing, the card says unknown instead of guessing.
What we deliberately don't do
- We don't fabricate vehicle history or title status. If a source publishes no VIN, the history stays unverified.
- We don't auto-bid or auto-buy. Capital decisions need a human.
- We don't present a heuristic market value as a fact. It is labelled an estimate, with its confidence, until real comps back it.
- We don't bypass CAPTCHAs, logins, rate limits or platform terms.
Evidence tiers
Where a claim came from decides how much weight it gets, strongest first:
- Government or manufacturer records
- Professional industry data
- Forums
- Community anecdotes
- Heuristic or AI inference
The lower tiers can raise a hypothesis. They never override stronger evidence without a human review.